Projected Change in Pa. Employment, 2018-2028

The population projections were derived by the Pennsylvania Department of Labor and Industry and are based on a monthly survey of employers (Current Employment Statistics Program) and a quarterly tax report from employers (QCEW program). Long-term industry projections were produced by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics through regression analysis using historical employment data, and by considering economic and demographic factors. Specifically, key considerations were given to the area’s projected population of people age 16 and above (current and projected by the U.S. Census Bureau), labor force participation rate, unemployment rate, industry employment trends, and share of national employment. The projections are estimates of employment levels and trends, not exact counts. The data reflect the number of jobs in an industry, not the number of people, since no attempt is made to correct for multiple job-holdings. Jobs include those that are both full-time and part-time. The 2008 data do not include all the employment categories that are included in the 2018 and 2028 data. Data source: Pennsylvania Department of Labor and Industry.

[Graphic by Center for Rural

Pennsylvania]